Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 321.528373 363.743570 410.437302 466.091356 530.845956 604.082494 693.562354
2025-11-02 253.675180 308.092556 373.564709 458.833999 567.965763 704.324857 889.758035
2025-11-09 223.354442 284.589492 362.621053 470.743531 618.888131 818.030792 1111.640968
2025-11-16 196.988252 260.452303 345.020941 468.089244 646.227753 900.493455 1301.687171
2025-11-23 175.877384 239.785502 328.185063 462.280703 665.753778 971.792528 1484.719170
2025-11-30 161.255774 225.959686 318.513415 464.312033 695.364604 1060.310726 1708.101456
2025-12-07 146.490617 210.104174 303.742422 456.133775 706.966444 1120.672407 1893.886455
2025-12-14 135.343357 198.347173 293.593767 453.420611 726.134185 1195.020840 2116.587170
2025-12-21 122.549840 182.822979 275.977611 436.345172 718.419406 1220.903197 2252.420472
2025-12-28 118.134544 179.894811 277.825443 451.534077 768.222329 1356.738376 2630.165737
2026-01-04 114.589149 177.961379 280.954289 469.019773 824.130737 1512.299088 3082.380123
2026-01-11 108.548731 171.384051 275.645273 470.773500 850.468293 1613.481032 3437.298965
2026-01-18 100.686881 161.311375 263.777120 459.820238 851.789330 1665.960993 3697.547537
2026-01-25 94.155979 153.033012 254.374373 452.561630 859.733029 1734.236319 4014.524930
2026-02-01 91.091692 150.497023 254.898567 464.284672 908.243515 1899.864967 4624.370964
2026-02-08 86.276816 144.478408 248.540277 461.672945 925.693037 1997.132144 5076.332379
2026-02-15 81.483597 138.143225 241.057905 455.957928 935.456216 2077.613272 5503.033252
2026-02-22 78.072326 134.080481 237.512345 457.956578 962.859500 2206.412119 6113.125112
2026-03-01 73.735810 128.000377 229.607377 449.909737 965.752667 2272.933079 6547.226764
2026-03-08 70.355957 123.496983 224.436646 447.240080 981.159333 2375.477897 7134.160049
2026-03-15 65.691710 116.256295 213.323350 430.437397 959.781203 2373.744213 7358.912157
2026-03-22 64.687710 116.011753 216.250793 445.383771 1020.164928 2614.303315 8551.003232
2026-03-29 63.921629 116.170953 219.996947 462.588484 1089.008442 2894.791813 10015.420720